U.S. intelligence says Iran is *not* building a nuclear bomb

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Here’s something really strange.
As the drumbeats for a U.S. war against Iran — ostensibly to prevent Iran from going nuclear — grow ever louder, yesterday came this piece of curious news:

U.S. intelligence agencies don’t believe Iran is actively trying to build a nuclear bomb!

Ken Dilanian reports for the Los Angeles Times, Feb. 23, 2012:

A highly classified U.S. intelligence assessment circulated to policymakers early last year largely affirms that view, originally made in 2007. Both reports, known as national intelligence estimates, conclude that Tehran halted efforts to develop and build a nuclear warhead in 2003.

The most recent report, which represents the consensus of 16 U.S. intelligence agencies, indicates that Iran is pursuing research that could put it in a position to build a weapon, but that it has not sought to do so.

Although Iran continues to enrich uranium at low levels, U.S. officials say they have not seen evidence that has caused them to significantly revise that judgment. Senior U.S. officials say Israel does not dispute the basic intelligence or analysis.

But Israel appears to have a lower threshold for action than Washington. It regards Iran as a threat to its existence and says it will not allow Iran to become capable of building and delivering a nuclear weapon. Some Israeli officials have raised the prospect of a military strike to stop Iran before it’s too late.

It’s unclear how much access U.S. intelligence has in Iran, a problem that bedeviled efforts to determine whether Iraq had weapons of mass destruction before the U.S.-led invasion in 2003.

The assessment that Saddam Hussein had secretly amassed stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons and was seeking to build a nuclear weapon, cited by the George W. Bush administration to justify the invasion, turned out to be wrong.

Iran barred inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog group, from visiting Parchin, a military site, this week to determine whether explosives tests were aimed at developing nuclear technology.

An IAEA report in November cited “serious concerns” about “possible military dimensions to Iran’s nuclear program,” but did not reach hard conclusions. 

Lest we forget, the C.I.A. also did not anticipate the collapse of communism across the Soviet bloc.
What it comes down to is that we are faced with two options:

  1. Either U.S. intelligence agencies are wrong, once again; or
  2. Our intelligence agencies are correct, which means we are being told yet another lie to justify yet another war.

Be it 1 or 2, neither is good news.

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0 responses to “U.S. intelligence says Iran is *not* building a nuclear bomb

  1. given the history of Iran and the people there,watching the events that have unfolded over the years-along with the fact we have a tyrannical govt at present. I do not trust. I am not willing to take the chance,or give them another chance. I say lets do it-get it done thoroughly the first time.

  2. Both 1 and 2, since the GOP guys like to talk out of both sides of their mouth.

    • Earth to walthe310 !
      It’s the Obama administration! It’s the Obama White House and the Obama C.I.A. and the Obama Pentagon. And Obama is a Democrat.
      Are you so much of a political ideologue that you’ve become brain dead?

  3. us intelligence is an oxymoron… and after almost 4 years of obama i would say the intelligence of the american people has become an oxymoron also…

  4. Hmmmmm… Let me see if I got this straight – Pakistan and North Korea trained Iranian technicians through the rogue Dr. Kahn’s “Let’s give EVERYONE nukes” program, then Russia designed, engineered, built, and staffed the Iranian centrifuge/enriching facilities as part of a 10 year arms agreement between Ayotollah and Czar Putin (he threw in several dozen of the latest SAMs for good measure in case any F-18 Super Hornets got loose from the nest while searching for the F-16 Falcons looking for something to kill in the air), while China was giving them rocket technology so they can go Intercontinental (that they stole from U.S.; I’m SURE its just for the “future satellites”), just as word gets out that the extremely complicated nuclear triggering mechanism for an initial detonation to instigate the chain reaction within a nuclear device was successful thanks in part to the North Koreans. And our “government intelligence agencies” say there’s no credible evidence a nuclear weapon is in the near future?
    WTF?!?!?!?! Are you sh*tting me? Folks, this isn’t even close to being funny. Now we’re talking scary dangerous.

  5. Dhimmitude.

  6. …cited by the George W. Bush administration to justify the invasion, turned out to be wrong.
    I’m throwing down the BS card here.
    First of all, there were WMD’s found in Iraq despite the fact that Saddam managed to get most of them out of the country in the months leading up to the invasion.
    Secondly, George W. Bush never once cited WMD’s as the reason we went into Iraq, and there is not one sound bite that exists anywhere on the planet where he did say it.
    We went to enforce a UN resolution.

  7. This is the same US “intelligence” that missed the death of Kim Dung Hill completely too, right?
    Yeah, I am sleeping much better knowing that Leon Pinheadea and Broom Hilda are large and in charge.

  8. Dennis H. Bennett

    I’m convinced the Obama rhetoric, from “US sends multiple envoys to ask Israel not to attack Iran” to “Iran does not really have a nuclear bomb”, is a vote-seeking tactic for Obama. “Why shouldn’t we re-elect him when he brought the troops home?” From the streets of the 60’s to drones to kill Libya’s “Bush”, from class warfare to Jeremiah Wright, Obama’s inner conflicts ALWAYS surface in his policies, “leadership” and speeches. He does not know peace.


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