The U.S. Wuhan virus models have been way off target

Sean Davis from The Federalist tweeted some very interesting stuff yesterday morning about the Wuhan virus models and the expected impact on our country. And what do you know, the models were not that accurate. But the panic WAS real.

Here’s his tweet thread of actual statistics:

State and local governments are being panicked into horrific decision-making by garbage models that have already been proven to be wildly wrong. Here’s what Covid Act Now predicted for TN by March 19: 190 hospitalizations. There were actually 15.

“Covid Act Now claimed nearly 5,400 New Yorkers would’ve been hospitalized by March 19. The real number? Approximately 750. They claimed nearly 13,000 hospitalizations by March 23. The actual number was around 2,500.

“Covid Act Now predicted that Georgia would have 688 hospitalizations by March 23. The state only had 800 total confirmed cases.

“In Florida, Covid Act Now predicted over 400 hospitalizations as of March 19. According to the governor, that number was 90.

“Covid Act Now predicted that 127 people in Oklahoma would be hospitalized by March 23 because of the Wuhan virus. As of yesterday, the entire state only had 81 confirmed cases.

“According to Covid Act Now, Virginia was supposed to have hospitalized 342 Wuhan virus sufferers by March 23. As of an hour ago, there were 290 confirmed cases in the entire state, of which 45 were hospitalized. Starting to discern a pattern yet with these apocalyptic models?”

Here in our small town in Oklahoma, one of the hospitals has a drive-through testing set up for those who have symptoms of a high fever and cough. The first day there was a line of cars, from the picture I saw in the news. Since then, I’ve driven by it several times and have not seen ONE car in line.

Great job, “experts.”

DCG

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Lou Minati
Lou Minati
2 months ago

I guess they used the same computer model that predicted Boston, New York, and Washington DC, not to mention the entire state of Florida, would be under water years ago due to global warming, er, “climate change”.

TrailDust
Admin
2 months ago

Thank you DCG, for that reality check. And the fear factor is off the charts. Why doesn’t anyone make a point about fear. As a life guard through my high school and college years, I can say that the most important warning the trainers gave us was to prevent or stop panic. Panic can kill both the rescuer and the person being rescued. “Fear will kill you ‘graveyard dead.'”

CogitoErgoSumantra
CogitoErgoSumantra
2 months ago

“The first day there was a line of cars, from the picture I saw in the news.”
Yeah, well that may have been the crazies who watch the LSM non-stop.

OR, it may have been a stock photo circulated by the AP for use by sister stations… I’ve seen similar photos this week.

Vin ze Vizzer
Vin ze Vizzer
2 months ago

This was always, imo, apart of the planned economic detonation of the United States. I am very disappointed in people like Michael Savage and Alex Jones who fearmongered the people so much and urged the president to action, but now have the nerve to complain how their precious “civil liberties” have been restricted. What did you think was going to happen, you putzes? The sad thing is all of the billionaires and these companies will buy the stock right back up, shopping will resume, and then they will make even more billions. But regular people will have lost their homes,… Read more »

Vin ze Vizzer
Vin ze Vizzer
2 months ago
Reply to  Vin ze Vizzer

Also, don’t say you weren’t warned. The media and scientific establishment have been lying and hoaxing people for centuries. The USS Maine, AC electricity, global cooling, then global warming, population bomb, ice shelf melting, artificial sweetener, trans fat, WMDs, 19 terrorists with boxcutters, etc. You knew they lied to you about all these things but thought, “Maybe they are telling the truth about this one!” No, they’re not telling the truth about this one either. They are all of their father the devil, who was a liar from the very beginning.

Black Bart
Black Bart
2 months ago

The greatest nation this miserable little planet has ever been graced by was destroyed by a panic created by the fake news industry. Bodies will begin to be found in muddy ditches. Hopefully soon.

MarkyMark
MarkyMark
2 months ago

Computer models depend two things: 1) weighting given to the assorted variables; 2) assumptions put in to the model. If ever GIGO applies, it is here.

Cinderella Broom
Editor
2 months ago

Just a few weeks ago, I was going to and from a local hospital every single day after a close relative fell ill. No one made me sign in or out. No gloves. No masks. Nothing. COVID was on the news all day long at the time. I live on the east coast, which is supposed to be one of the hot spots. No one seemed all that concerned. But fear has been whipped up ever since. And now I can’t even visit my relative, who is now in an assisted living residence. Even the doctor assigned to her won’t… Read more »

CogitoErgoSumantra
CogitoErgoSumantra
2 months ago

Sorry you’re going through that… we did the same with dad in January (and the prior 5 months) as he died with Lymphoma… I remember the boxes of face masks in the hospital hallways @elevators, the hand sanitizer foam at every door. We *did* have to wash hands each time entering the cancer unit at the hospital due to those on the ward with lowered immune function from chemo treatments, and the foamy sanitizer was just fun to use. But it wasn’t crazy even in January. We *did* have to sign in & back out at the hospice center in… Read more »

chemtrailssuck
2 months ago

CBS was caught using footage from an Italian hospital’s ICU and saying it was in NYC instead (after editing it a bit).
Source: prepforthat.com

Whisperingsage
Whisperingsage
1 month ago

On the other hand, I have something, but none of the counties around me are testing. They are recommending going to the ER but not actually testing for the covid 19. So HOW are we going to know?