Tag Archives: Wuhan virus modeling predictions

You buying this: IHME model claims 38K American lives could be saved if 95% of people wore masks in public

The many faces of Gates that you should trust…

Back in April, I told you how the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) was WAY OFF in their modeling numbers of how many Americans would die from Wuhan virus. From my blog post:

“Based upon models created by “experts,” hospitals and healthcare facilities have set everything aside to deal with the thousands of anticipated Wuhan virus cases. We have shutdown and basically crashed our economy.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) – funded by Bill Gates – created models to predict how many Americans would die of the Wuhan virus. These numbers were used in anticipation of determining the number of beds needed to treat Wuhan virus victims at hospitals.

Sean Davis at The Federalist has done a good job of tracking the “experts” and their predictions. Turns out they aren’t so “expert” at all. Their numbers have continuously been revised to lower numbers. Or as they say, “our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust.”

Read my whole April blog post here.

Now the IHME has come out with some a new modeling prediction: “Model shows that 33,000 American lives could be saved if 95% of people wear masks in public.”

From the MyFoxChicago story:

“If almost everyone wears a mask in public over the next few months, tens of thousands of lives could be saved in the United States, according to a widely-cited coronavirus pandemic model used by the White House.

Researchers are forecasting that more than 179,000 Americans will die by Oct. 1. That number drops to around 146,000 people if at least 95% of people wear masks — a difference of 33,000 lives.

The projections comparing different actions to control the spread of COVID-19 are from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

“There is no doubt that even as states open up, the United States is still grappling with a large epidemic on a course to increase beginning in late August and intensifying in September,” IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray said in a statement. “People need to know that wearing masks can reduce transmission of the virus by as much as 50 percent, and those who refuse are putting their lives, their families, their friends, and their communities at risk.”

Read the whole story here.

Given the flaws in IHME’s past modeling predictions, I’m not about to take this prediction at face value. Especially when Bill Gates’ name is connected to it and his role in the Wuhan virus and interest in vaccines.

DCG

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