Joel Pollak reports for Breitbart, Nov. 1, 2012, that a Pew poll says Obama’s lead among Catholic voters has declined from 54-39 in September 2012 to a mere two-point lead, 48-46. Among white Catholics, Romney has jumped to a 14-point lead (54-40) after being tied with Obama in September. To understand just how significant that is, consider that in 2008, Obama won Catholics by 9% (54 to 45) and lost white Catholics by just 5% (47 to 52). In 2004, the Catholic vote went narrowly to Bush overall (more widely among white Catholics), and in 2000 it went narrowly to Gore (and narrowly to Bush among white Catholics). The 14-point lead Romney currently enjoys among white Catholics is almost without precedent.
Hurricane Sandy has helped the POS
But a new poll by the Pew Research Center, one of the more reliable pollsters, showed the POS has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign, helped by his perceived handling of superstorm Sandy. Obama now leads Romney 48% to 45% nationwide, among likely voters. Pew estimates that in the final tally, Obama will take 50% of the popular vote to 47% for Romney. The modest lead for Obama marks a shift from a week ago when the two were tied on 47% before Sandy. Among likely voters, 69% said they approved of Obama’s handling of the storm.
Other polls show a very tight race
Rasmussen: Romney 49% vs. Obama 48% among likely voters nationwide.
On July 11, 2012 Ben Swann of Cinncinati’s employee-owned TV channel Fox 19, did this “Reality Check” on Romney’s poll numbers in 12 swing states.
Last Monday, July 16th, 2012, Ben posted this on the Reality Check Facebook page: 3 FACTS ABOUT A CANDIDATES NAME BEING PLACED INTO NOMINATION AT THE REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION! I have been in touch with a member of the RNC Rules committee over the past 4 days and have been able to confirm a few FACTS about the nomination process. 1. For a candidate’s name to be placed into nomination at the RNC you DO need a plurality of delegates from 5 states. 2. Binding and Non-binding distinctions DO NOT have an affect on nominating a candidates name. If “binding” is allowable by rule, (it is not) it would only pertain to a vote taken on the nomination, not the process of placing a name in nomination. 3. The Ron Paul campaign HAS the majority of delegates in the following 5 states: Nevada, Maine, Minnesota, Louisana, Iowa. He MAY have the majority in Massachusetts and Colorado Congressman Ron Paul is having a BIG rally 12:00-6:00 PM on Sunday, August 26 at the University of South Florida’s Sun Dome the day before the GOP convention.And his supporters that include republicans, democrats and independents fervently DO LOVE him.
To date, it looks like the Romney campaign will not allow him to speak at “their convention.” People spending time at Ron Paul’s rally may not be amenable to the careful choreography of the Republican elites’ August 27-30 GOP Convention .