While the Left’s willing accomplices in the media pour on their sickening adulation of Hillary in their selective reporting of the Democratic National Convention, one Democrat is actually speaking the truth.
In a very long, tediously verbose email to his followers whom he addresses as “friends,” which you can read for yourself here, Hollyweirdo film maker Michael Moore mournfully predicts that Donald Trump will defeat Hillary Clinton this November.
I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.”
Notwithstanding his forlorn wish that he could “be proven wrong,” and despite his belief that “the American people clearly want” the Obama legacy to be continued, which the “whip-smart” Hillary Clinton who “cares about kids” will, Moore tells his followers that they must “stop living in denial and face the truth which you know deep down is very, very real.”
According to Michael Moore, these are the 5 reasons Trump is going to win:
1. Trump will win the rustbelt states of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
These are four traditionally “blue” states in the rustbelt of the upper Great Lakes which can no longer be relied on to vote Democrat because “the Clintons’ support of NAFTA helped to destroy the industrial states of the Upper Midwest, and Trump will “hammer” Hillary on this “and her support of TPP and other trade policies that have royally screwed the people of these four states.” Moore predicts that “What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here” because of the plight and anger of the former industrial workers of America’s rustbelt:
“From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my friends, is the middle of England – broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class. Angry, embittered working (and nonworking) people who were lied to by the trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by Democrats who still try to talk a good line but are really just looking forward to rub one out with a lobbyist from Goldman Sachs who’ll write them nice big check before leaving the room.”
Trump understands and speaks to their anger. Moore writes:
“When Trump stood in the shadow of a Ford Motor factory during the Michigan primary, he threatened the corporation that if they did indeed go ahead with their planned closure of that factory and move it to Mexico, he would slap a 35% tariff on any Mexican-built cars shipped back to the United States. It was sweet, sweet music to the ears of the working class of Michigan, and when he tossed in his threat to Apple that he would force them to stop making their iPhones in China and build them here in America, well, hearts swooned and Trump walked away with a big victory that should have gone to the governor next-door, John Kasich.”
Some signs that Trump will win those 4 rustbelt states are:
- All four states have elected Republican governors since 2010 (only Pennsylvania recently elected a Democrat).
- In the Michigan primary in March, more Michiganders came out to vote for the Republicans (1.32 million) that the Democrats (1.19 million).
- Trump is ahead of Hillary in the latest polls in Pennsylvania and tied with her in Ohio.
- In 2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. The electoral votes cast by Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are precisely 64, which means “All Trump needs to do to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do, the swath of traditional red states from Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And that will put him over the top. This is how it will happen in November.”
2. The Angry White Man
While he has only contempt for America’s angry white men who he says are furious that the “male-dominated, 240-year run of the USA is coming to an end” and “a woman is about to take over,” Moore nevertheless sees the 2016 presidential election as the “last stand” of the “Endangered White Male” who will turn out in droves to vote for Trump.
3. Hillary Clinton
Asking his followers, “Can we speak honestly, just among ourselves?,” Moore says outright that “Our biggest problem here isn’t Trump – it’s Hillary.” Here are the dimensions of what Moore calls “The Hillary Problem”:
- Hillary Clinton is a hawk, who “will find a way to get us in some kind of military action.”
- Hillary Clinton is hugely unpopular — nearly 70% of all voters think she is untrustworthy and dishonest.
- Hillary Clinton is an opportunist — she doesn’t really believe “in anything other than what can get you elected. That’s why she fights against gays getting married one moment, and the next she’s officiating a gay marriage.”
- Young women, in particular, don’t like Hillary and “are among her biggest detractors…. [N]ot a day goes by that a millennial doesn’t tell me they aren’t voting for her.
- No enthusiasm of Hillary means low voter turnout: “No Democrat, and certainly no independent, is waking up on November 8th excited to run out and vote for Hillary the way they did the day Obama became president or when Bernie was on the primary ballot. The enthusiasm just isn’t there. And because this election is going to come down to just one thing — who drags the most people out of the house and gets them to the polls — Trump right now is in the catbird seat.”
4. The Depressed Sanders Vote
While Moore maintains that Bernie Sanders’ supporters will vote for Hillary, he warns that “The fire alarm that should be going off is that while the average Bernie backer will drag him/herself to the polls that day to somewhat reluctantly vote for Hillary, it will be what’s called a ‘depressed vote’ – meaning the voter doesn’t bring five people to vote with her. He doesn’t volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up to the election.” That’s because Bernie supporters, being young, “have zero tolerance for phonies and BS.” And although “They’re not going to vote for Trump; some will vote third party, but many will just stay home.” And Hillary picking Tim Kaine — “a moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old white guy” — as her running mate sent precisely the wrong message to the Bernie millennials.
5. the angry, DEFIANT american
Moore calls his 5th reason why Trump will win “the Jesse Ventura Effect”. By that he means what happened “back in the ‘90s when the people of Minnesota elected a professional wrestler as their governor” simply because they could — a gesture of defiance against the establishment, “Minnesotans’ version of a good practical joke on a sick political system.”
Moore predicts “This is going to happen again with Trump” when the voter draws “the curtain and are all alone in the voting booth” — “one of the few places left in society where there are no security cameras, no listening devices, no spouses, no kids, no boss, no cops … and no one can make you do anything.” And because of “the anger that so many have toward a broken political system, millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can. Just because it will upset the apple cart and make mommy and daddy mad.”
In other words, like so many other political analysts, Moore correctly sees the American people as sick of the prevailing system, and they want to “shake things up,” which “President Trump would indeed do just that, and a good chunk of the electorate would like to sit in the bleachers and watch that reality show.”
H/t FOTM reader MCA.