Tag Archives: IHME

You buying this: IHME model claims 38K American lives could be saved if 95% of people wore masks in public

The many faces of Gates that you should trust…

Back in April, I told you how the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) was WAY OFF in their modeling numbers of how many Americans would die from Wuhan virus. From my blog post:

“Based upon models created by “experts,” hospitals and healthcare facilities have set everything aside to deal with the thousands of anticipated Wuhan virus cases. We have shutdown and basically crashed our economy.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) – funded by Bill Gates – created models to predict how many Americans would die of the Wuhan virus. These numbers were used in anticipation of determining the number of beds needed to treat Wuhan virus victims at hospitals.

Sean Davis at The Federalist has done a good job of tracking the “experts” and their predictions. Turns out they aren’t so “expert” at all. Their numbers have continuously been revised to lower numbers. Or as they say, “our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust.”

Read my whole April blog post here.

Now the IHME has come out with some a new modeling prediction: “Model shows that 33,000 American lives could be saved if 95% of people wear masks in public.”

From the MyFoxChicago story:

“If almost everyone wears a mask in public over the next few months, tens of thousands of lives could be saved in the United States, according to a widely-cited coronavirus pandemic model used by the White House.

Researchers are forecasting that more than 179,000 Americans will die by Oct. 1. That number drops to around 146,000 people if at least 95% of people wear masks — a difference of 33,000 lives.

The projections comparing different actions to control the spread of COVID-19 are from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington.

“There is no doubt that even as states open up, the United States is still grappling with a large epidemic on a course to increase beginning in late August and intensifying in September,” IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray said in a statement. “People need to know that wearing masks can reduce transmission of the virus by as much as 50 percent, and those who refuse are putting their lives, their families, their friends, and their communities at risk.”

Read the whole story here.

Given the flaws in IHME’s past modeling predictions, I’m not about to take this prediction at face value. Especially when Bill Gates’ name is connected to it and his role in the Wuhan virus and interest in vaccines.

DCG

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A panic-based, overreaction is destroying our healthcare systems

On April 10 I did a blog post entitled, “When you prepare for something that is not coming, you just may destroy yourself.”

From my post:

“Based upon models created by “experts,” hospitals and healthcare facilities have set everything aside to deal with the thousands of anticipated Wuhan virus cases. We have shutdown and basically crashed our economy.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) – funded by Bill Gates – created models to predict how many Americans would die of the Wuhan virus. These numbers were used in anticipation of determining the number of beds needed to treat Wuhan virus victims at hospitals.

Sean Davis at The Federalist has done a good job of tracking the “experts” and their predictions. Turns out they aren’t so “expert” at all. Their numbers have continuously been revised to lower numbers. Or as they say, “our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust.”

Using the IHME models, hospitals began postponing routine surgeries and treatments. It turns out that hospitals are not as full of the anticipated number of Wuhan virus patients. So what are they doing now?”

Now, due to over-reaction and panic created with GARBAGE models, hospitals are furloughing employees and cutting hours and pay. See the following examples:

“Mayo Clinic to furlough or cut pay of 30,000 employees”

From the MSN story: Mayo Clinic is furloughing or reducing the hours of almost half its workforce as the nonprofit medical center tries to stop the financial bleeding from the coronavirus pandemic.

Mayo Clinic began furloughing an undisclosed number of supplemental and contract employees in late March as it started to deal with the “unprecedented challenges” of COVID-19. The nonprofit medical center employs 70,000 people in multiple states.”

“California hospital system implements pay cuts, furloughs for 14,000 workers amid pandemic”

From The Hill: “A California hospital system announced plans last week to institute pay reductions and furlough some workers amid the ongoing coronavirus pandemic in the U.S.

The San Francisco Chronicle reported that a letter sent to Stanford Health Care staff last week indicated that employees could opt for a 20 percent pay reduction between this week and July 4, or decide instead to use paid time off for the period. Employees could also choose to accept a furlough and apply for unemployment benefits.

“Carilion Clinic (Roanoke Valley, VA) announces furloughs, pay cuts”

From The Roanoke Times: “Carilion Clinic announced that it will cut pay for executives, trim hours for some employees, furlough others and delay expansion projects.

The moves are in line with actions by health systems across the country as a response to the financial toll caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Carilion has seen a sharp decline in revenue as outpatient visits and surgeries are halted, and has taken on unexpected expenses in purchasing equipment, medications and supplies and readying units for infectious patients.”

Roanoke Valley has a population of nearly 100,000 people, 154 Wuhan virus cases and five deaths.

Governor Coonman has extended Virginia’s “Stay At Home Order” until June 10.

DCG

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When you prepare for something that is not coming, you just may destroy yourself

What has happened in our country – and in much of the world – due to shutting down economies, will make an excellent case study for future economic students. An excellent case study of WHAT NOT TO DO.

Based upon models created by “experts,” hospitals and healthcare facilities have set everything aside to deal with the thousands of anticipated Wuhan virus cases. We have shutdown and basically crashed our economy.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) – funded by Bill Gates – created models to predict how many Americans would die of the Wuhan virus. These numbers were used in anticipation of determining the number of beds needed to treat Wuhan virus victims at hospitals.

Sean Davis at The Federalist has done a good job of tracking the “experts” and their predictions. Turns out they aren’t so “expert” at all. Their numbers have continuously been revised to lower numbers. Or as they say, “our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust.”

Using the IHME models, hospitals began postponing routine surgeries and treatments. It turns out that hospitals are not as full of the anticipated number of Wuhan virus patients. So what are they doing now?

From USA Today: “Thousands of US medical workers furloughed, laid off as routine patient visits drop during coronavirus pandemic”

From their story: “Orr joins thousands of health care workers across the nation who have been laid off, furloughed or are working reduced hours as their services are deemed nonessential and patients skip routine visits during an outbreak of COVID-19 cases, based on reporting from advocacy groups and from news stories from across the nation.

How many health care workers are included in the record 3.28 million Americans that filed for initial unemployment benefits last week is unknown. Specific data from the U.S. Department of Labor will be released when it reports its March unemployment numbers Friday.”

Read the whole story here.

Another example of what is happening in the health care industry as a result of preparing for the worst? Hospitals closing: Integris Baptist Medical Center Portland Avenue in northwest Oklahoma City is being closed and an unspecified number of patients will be moved to another Integris hospital in the city because of a drop in patients, Integris Health spokeswoman Brooke Cayot said Thursday.”

Read the whole story here.

Stories like this are happening all over the country (except New York).

Turns out that in order to avoid a healthcare system crisis, we somehow have managed to destroy healthcare for millions of people. An excellent case study of WHAT NOT TO DO.

DCG

Better than Drudge Report. Check out Whatfinger News, the Internet’s conservative frontpage founded by ex-military!

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