One day to election, what do the polls say?

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Vote for love of country vs. Vote for revenge

Obama support among Catholics collapsing

Joel Pollak reports for Breitbart, Nov. 1, 2012, that a Pew poll says Obama’s lead among Catholic voters has declined from 54-39 in September 2012 to a mere two-point lead, 48-46. Among white Catholics, Romney has jumped to a 14-point lead (54-40) after being tied with Obama in September. To understand just how significant that is, consider that in 2008, Obama won Catholics by 9% (54 to 45) and lost white Catholics by just 5% (47 to 52). In 2004, the Catholic vote went narrowly to Bush overall (more widely among white Catholics), and in 2000 it went narrowly to Gore (and narrowly to Bush among white Catholics). The 14-point lead Romney currently enjoys among white Catholics is almost without precedent.

Hurricane Sandy has helped the POS

But a new poll by the Pew Research Center, one of the more reliable pollsters, showed the POS has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign, helped by his perceived handling of superstorm Sandy. Obama now leads Romney 48% to 45% nationwide, among likely voters. Pew estimates that in the final tally, Obama will take 50% of the popular vote to 47% for Romney. The modest lead for Obama marks a shift from a week ago when the two were tied on 47% before Sandy. Among likely voters, 69% said they approved of Obama’s handling of the storm.

Other polls show a very tight race

Rasmussen: Romney 49% vs. Obama 48% among likely voters nationwide.

ABC/Washington Post: Obama 49% vs. Romney 48% among likely voters nationwide.

Gallup: Romney 48% vs. Obama 48% among likely voters in the “swing” battleground states.

CNN: 49-49 tie, but CNN’s sample is skewed in favor of Democrats (a D+11 sample). By comparison, the electorate in 2008, when Obama-mania was at its peak, was merely D+7, according to exit polls.

Polls of some battleground states:

~Eowyn

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0 responses to “One day to election, what do the polls say?

  1. Homeschool Mama

    All we can do now is humble ourselves, pray, turn from our wicked ways. God promises if we do that, He will forgive, and heal our land.

     
  2. Thank you Dr. Eowyn for this revealing post. I continue praying that the American people vote for Romney, for what is right and good, as opposed to voting for the evil one, who is in favor of intrinsically evil practices across the board!

     
  3. The question is why does O have any lead among Catholics. I wonder if the bishops’ efforts to inform voters will be of any value. Still, I remain very optimistic overall.

     

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