No evidence of global warming increasing frequency of U.S. hurricanes

In a recent tweet, former Canadian prime minister, the harridan Kim Campbell, gleefully said she’s “rooting for” Hurricane Dorian to make a “direct hit” on President Trump’s home at Mar-a-Lago, Florida. Campbell justifies her malicious wish, claiming that Trump’s refusal to “tackle” climate change and his plan to “remove limits on methan” are “making hurricanes more destructive”.

Campbell’s claim that man-made “climate change” is making hurricanes more destructive is exemplified in a recent New Republic article by meteorologist Eric Holthaus, in which he asserts that “as the Gulf of Mexico waters warm because of climate change, early-season hurricanes…could become more common.”

But in a guest post for Watts Up With That?, using what he calls “actual historical data” of the number of early season (June/July) landfalling hurricanes to strike the U.S., Bob Vislosky, Ph.D., points out that there simply is no empirical support for the claim that the number of hurricanes had increased since 1868.

Commenting on the chart below, Vislosky wrote that “despite 150+ years of global warming the frequency of early season hurricanes has actually declined by a small (but probably insignificant) amount, as evidenced by the dashed blue least-squares trend line. Certainly there is no clear evidence to support the…claim that they’re becoming more common.

 

Vislosky also highlights Eric Holthaus’ “blatant cherry picking and misrepresentation” of data to suit his purpose.

In his New Republic piece, Holthaus states that “in the 168 years of hurricane records, a July hurricane in Louisiana has only happened three times, and all of those occurrences have been within the past 40 years,” implying that climate change is causing the early-season July hurricanes since they all happened in just the last 40 years.

But Vislosky points out that although “on the surface” Holthaus’ assertion is factually correct, it is misleading because Holthaus focused solely on July hurricanes. A different picture, however, emerges if one includes not just July hurricanes, but ALL early-season hurricanes (in June and July) to strike Louisiana. Here’s the list:

  1. June 1886 (Unnamed, Cat 2)
  2. June 1934 (Unnamed, Cat 2)
  3. June 1957 (Audrey, Cat 3)
  4. July 1979 (Bob, Cat 1)
  5. July 1997 (Danny, Cat 1)
  6. July 2005 (Cindy, Cat 1)

The list shows that:

  • There is no overall trend in June/July hurricanes hitting Louisiana.
  • Ass much as half of all early-season hurricanes to strike Louisiana actually occurred before instead of after 1960 before “climate change” and its warming effects.

In other words, as Vislosky puts it, “by purposefully omitting the June early-season hurricanes from his analysis,” Holthaus “is guilty of cherry-picking data in the least and more likely guilty of fraudulent reporting to promote an agenda. As a meteorologist, Holthaus should be embarrassed by his research. Guess he figured nobody would fact-check his work.”

See also:

~Eowyn

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Michael Garrison
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Michael Garrison

Folks, global warming is a lie created to KILL humans to save an earth that is so far gone that only Father can put Her back together again.

Alma
Member
Alma

Global warming is the air I blew inside the birthday balloon I gave my neighbor’s granddaughter a week ago. Around and around the blue planet goes through changes since it formed. We are causing global warming? Crap!!! India,

Dan
Guest
Dan

As usual the Weather Channel blows it again, hitting a CAT 5 on the Homer Simpson scale of their signature fear-mongering buffoonery. I noticed the same induced helplessness meme on Fox News as well, complete with the new lingo of helplessness and reliance on “first responders” and other such bloviation meant to leave us in awe of government power. I even caught the spokesman for Cape Canaveral mentioning that even though they’d put “boots on the moon”—he actually used those words—they still had to obey “first responders,” and so unintentionally exposing the awareness on the part of government hacks that… Read more »

William
Member
William

I just happened to catch a few minutes of some WC loser standing on a beach, no wind, nothing going on. Nothing to report, “Dorian” was significantly downgraded, not making landfall. But they’re still carrying on like it’s the end of the world, and we really, really mean it this time. I’d feel sorry for them if they weren’t such lying sleazebag propagandists

William
Member
William

Boots on the moon, huh? No one has ever satisfactorily explained how those boots passed through the Van Allen radiation belt without being fried. Maybe they sheltered in place. Astronaut Alan Bean explained that they didn’t go through the Van Allen belt. They must have taken the back roads

Goldbug
Guest
Goldbug

Does anyone REALLY believe we put “boots on the moon” and never even attempted to go back?

William
Member
William

NASA says the moon-landing technology was “lost” or “destroyed”. It was all written down in a spiral notebook and the new janitor threw it out by mistake. Shit happens. So they no longer know how to make moon landers out of foil

William
Member
William

All of the predictions of the AGW alarmists have been completely, laughablly wrong. Hurricanes are becoming less frequent and less intense, exactly the opposite of what they predicted. As I sometimes say they can’t predict yesterday’s weather much less what the global climate will look like 100 years from now, to within a tenth of a degree F! Isn’t climate “science”, like, amazing? There is no global warming, only artificial warming (manmade) produced by “infilling” (making up) temperature data from large swaths of the globe that have no weather stations. Or even thermometers in many cases. So no warming, sea… Read more »

GRIZZ
Guest
GRIZZ

4 days of showing the damage in the Bahamas still doesn’t make it florida.
The news groids are sooooo disappointed

Cornell
Guest
Cornell

The Obama’s recently purchased a 7,000 square foot , $50,000,000.00 mansion in Martha’s Vineyard, if he believes in global warming then he must also believe Martha’s Vineyard will be submerged within a decade.

MachtNichts
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MachtNichts

I’m not proud of it but that woman was a Canadian PM for about 5 months back in 1993. Long gone down the memory hole.

Kay
Guest
Kay

Dr. E – Kim Campbell is a former Canadian Prime Minister. Please correct this terrible mistake in the article. It just adds fodder to the whole “who is and who is not fake news” debate. This is inexcusable journalism!

DCG
Admin

Thanks for catching that. Please note that the photo accurately stated Campbell was Canadian.

Kay
Guest
Kay

Thanks DCG! but it appears that I and MachtNichts read the article HERE when the article referred to her as “a former Australian Prime Minister”. AND THAT IS EXACTLY what I replied to. And now the article and photo are changed. There is something not right and fishy here. And I am ready to walk and spread that you can’t even trust the “NOT FAKE” news sites. Dr. E – you are pretty silent on this AND YOU KNOW THAT THE ORIGINAL ARTICLE THAT WAS POSTED SAID THAT KIM CAMPBELL WAS A FORMER AUSTRALIAN PRIME MINISTER! WHY HAS THE INFO… Read more »

DCG
Admin

The original picture stated Campbell was the Canadian PM. The original sentence stated she was Australian PM, which I changed. That is why the info on this site changed. There is nothing fishy here. I acknowledged you and made the correction. I did not change the photo. As for Dr. E being silent, you have NO IDEA of why the silence. Those of us who run this blog have personal lives and at times, limited availability to check in on it. We are humans who have PERSONAL issues to deal with on a daily basis. If you are sooooo sick… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

Maybe checking your sources and their sources before posting articles is something you should try. I am not trying to discredit you, Dr. E or anyone on this site – EVER! it’s just that i come to this site for TRUTH and I recommend others to this site for TRUTH and if you can be so cavalier about a Canadian or Australian previous Prime Minister – then I call that into question! Imagine if you had have mentioned Clint Eastwood as a former Prime Minister of somewhere??? Maybe you all need to take a stance for serious journalism and correct… Read more »

DCG
Admin

“Maybe checking your sources and their sources before posting articles is something you should try.” The first source link in this post connects you to, “Former Canadian PM Kim Campbell and Hollyweirdo David Simon want Hurricane Dorian to make a ‘direct hit’ on Trump’s Florida home.” As I stated, I acknowledged our mistake that stated Campbell as the “Australian” PM and I corrected it to Canadian. I don’t know what else I can do to apologize for our mistake. It was not our intent to provide disinformation. Our error has been acknowledged and corrected. “And if Dr. E can’t be… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

yep. maybe we don’t. but some of us read…and some of us read when the article was untrue and you going in and “fixing it later” doesn’t sit well with us. Please people read all of the comments and replies to this article. NOTHING was fixed until “critical mass” was reached??? maybe????

DCG
Admin

Like I said: The photo was captioned correctly. Some of us read. One error was made and you explode. ONE ERROR.

I imagine if you fixated on the errors made by the NY Times you could make a full-time job out of that.

Kay
Guest
Kay

crap – is there a job out there that would pay for that? i’d do it in a heartbeat! and roll in the millions of dollars…me and my …uh…hillbilly friends. no idea where you come from eh? ever heard of the expulsion of the acadians? ever checked out where the appalachians begin? only for those with “eyes to see” and “ears to hear” i guess.

Kay
Guest
Kay

[spoiler title=” “crap

Dave
Editor

Did somebody pee in your oatmeal this morning?

Kay
Guest
Kay

i really hate having to do this…but no one peed in my oatmeal…thank you for being concerned. i just wish your concern related to the article not being correct is all.

TrailDust
Admin

Kay, nothing here is perfect. When we find an error, either by ourselves or by one of our readers,, we make the repair, unless we don’t agree it was an error.

Kay
Guest
Kay

thank you very much TrailDust.

Grif
Editor

Kay: If there is a modicum of rationality in your gratuitous rant, I fail to find it, though I have sincerely tried. There is nothing rational in your bizarre outrage over a simple error, an error that was corrected immediately–IMMEDIATELY–after you pointed it out. DCG gave you credit for your contribution. She also apologized for the error. That should have been it. Instead you launched into a vitriolic, hysterical screaming match (screaming in social media etiquette is what you do WHEN YOU CAPITALIZE EVERY BLOODY WORD) . You have just self-outed yourself as a borderline personality. Don’t try to deny… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

I apologize to everyone who has tried to claim “it was just a mistake”.

Dave
Editor

Get over yourself.

When you live a mistake-free life, then you can point your fingers at others.

Until that day comes, STHD and STFU.

Kay
Guest
Kay

i just went through 7 days of no power/phone during “hurricane Dion”. i live no mistake-free life – i would have no need of the Father, the Son and the Holy Spirit if I did. A mistake was made that should have never gone into print. and i hold no grudges or ill-will towards anyone.

Kay
Guest
Kay

DCG – i respect all of you here. Can you please stop calling me a liar?

William
Member
William

Your reaction to this “terrible mistake” seems a bit overblown. As seekers of the truth I believe it is our duty to call BS when we see it ( and then duck). But to me the salient point of this post is that this womyn, based on her statements, lacks the requisite integrity to be dogcatcher much less PM of anywhere. Just another operative for the Empire of Lies. So they made a simple mistake in the post, acknowledged it, and corrected it. It ain’t a perfect world. God alone is perfect

Kay
Guest
Kay

only the Father, the Son and the Holy Spirit, i agree with you. i also agree that un-truths should never be published if someone/anyone is only trying to provide a truth. i can’t even comprehend how you could call me a “womyn”. for all of you calling me names – i have called you none. i just don’t like untruths to be published in areas where people come for the truth. i am hurt by all of this. i have been reading here for years, never commented, then left a few comments of what I thought were uplifting, and then… Read more »

William
Member
William

I didn’t call you a “womyn”, I was referring to that ex-PM of wherever. I wouldn’t insult a fellow commenter even if I strenuously disagreed with them. What attracted me to this site was the fact that most people who comment maintain a civil and respectful tone. That’s refreshing because internet forums and such can be truly vicious due to the innate anonymity of online discourse. I don’t agree with everything here. Hardly. That would be boring. But so long as we disagree civilly and respectfully, it’s all good as they say. I honestly don’t understand what you were so… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

and also to you. i see that some of my responses are accorded only a character…i hope that you can read this one properly. i am not a “womyn”. but you are very correct in calling “the ex-PM of wherever” one. and that was my only point.

TrailDust
Admin

Thank you, MachtNichts, for the correction.
The mistake has been acknowledged and fixed.

Kay
Guest
Kay

5 days after the original post? or was it immedietely!

William
Member
William

This summer in Paris they had 17 days in which the temperature exceeded 90 degrees F. The MSM described this as “record-breaking” and said that “climate change” made the heat wave “100 times more likely” (compared to what?). In the summer of 1947 Paris experienced 31 days over 90 degrees F and in 1911 23 days. In 1911 Paris had a 70 day heatwave that lasted from July to September in which 41,072 people died, mostly babies under two years of age. One doctor wrote in his diary that he was marking the year “with a black cross”. It was… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

heck William – we just saw a hurricane…yes, i said hurricane – in Cape Breton Island!!! look it up on a map and you’ll be like all of us – HUH? i think it was man-made. who am i to tell that to? thank you for your response above.

William
Member
William

Yes, I noticed that “Dorian” was maintaining 100 MPH winds as it headed toward Nova Scotia. Nova Scotia isn’t built for hurricanes, Florida is, so I was worried about you folks. That’s pretty unusual but not unprecedented. One of my earliest memories was of a severe huricane that hit New England (I was in Maine) in 1954 with 130 MPH winds (!!!) Edna I think it was. We had two major hurricanes within ten days, unthinkable now. We haven’t had a major hurricane in 60 years. The climate is, if anything, getting more moderate. I don’t think “they” can actually… Read more »

Kay
Guest
Kay

i think one got “steered” William. i have always “smelled” storms and i didn’t “smell” dorian…i “smelled” the one that came 2 days later. the one that came 2 days later “smelled” like a storm. so strange eh?

thank you very kindly to your response. i really appreciate it.

William
Member
William

Very strange, but we live in very strange times. I know we can smell thunderstorms, and animals do too of course, because of increased ozone concentration. I didn’t know about your second storm. Hurricane Rita in 2005 was most definitely steered away from Houston, there were heat signatures of unknown origin (there were Navy warships in the area) shortly before it changed course. There were 15 hurricanes that year, several very intense ones. It seemed very unnatural

William
Member
William

By the way, I sometimes still call Nova Scotia “Acadia”. A beautiful place name. As in Acadia National park in Maine, a few miles from my favorite place name, Blue Hill Bay. Just saying or typing Acadia and Blue Hill Bay induces a sense of peace. Just me

kjf
Guest
kjf

So does anyone remember Sept 2001 and hurricane Erin????

https://153news.net/watch_video.php?v=YAYK889DH23K

Kay
Guest
Kay

does anyone remember all of the posts that were previously posted here? i sure do…

Kay
Guest
Kay

and i can’t possibly keep up with all of you here…too bad i didn’t save alllllll of the previous posts…if anyone is interested – teehee… i can send them to you. but no one ever listens to the little guy, eh? no, i just kept ALLLLL of the previous responses to myself….

no matter. when “the time comes”…i’ll have them. whatever eh?

Kay
Guest
Kay

heck. hope i didn’t have any spelling errors. and can someone please tell me where “ALL” of my previous responses went? and can someone tell me where all of the other previous responses went? no matter, i HAVE them all.

Kay
Guest
Kay

i actually do. and have always questioned how Canadian military soldiers got there first. always questioned that as an ex-CF member. and wonder if you haven’t hit the nail on the head. how on earth did Canadian Forces be the first ones to respond? thank you kjf!