A new poll finds that more than half of Americans don’t want Obama reelected.
The Associated Press reports, Dec. 16, 2011 that a representative (i.e., the results are generalizable to the larger U.S. population) AP-GfK Poll was conducted December 8-12 2011 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1,000 adults nationwide and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The AP summarizes the results of the poll as “Heading into his re-election campaign, the president faces a conflicted public that does not support his steering of the economy, the most dominant issue for Americans, or his reforms to health care, one of his signature accomplishments, yet are grappling with whether to replace him with Republican contenders Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich.”
Here are the poll’s findings:
- For the first time, a majority of adults, 52%, said Obama should be voted out of office while 43% said he deserves another term. The numbers mark a reversal since last May, when 53% said Obama should be re-elected while 43% said he didn’t deserve 4 more years.
- Skippy’s overall job approval stands at a new low: 44% approve vs. 54% disapprove.
- Americans don’t want Obamacare: About half of the respondents oppose the health care law and support for it dipped to 29% from 36% in June. Just 15% said the federal government should have the power to require all Americans to buy health insurance. Even Democrats don’t like Obamacare, supported by 50% of Dems in the poll, down from last June’s 59%. Only about a quarter of independents want Obamacare. [But is the GOP in Congress doing anything about getting rid of Obamacare? No! ~Eowyn]
- The partisan gap: Skippy’s approval rating among independents is 38% approve vs. 59% disapprove. Among Democrats, Skippy holds steady with an approval rating of 78% while only 12% of Republicans approve of the job he’s doing. [Who are these 12% Republicans??? ~Eowyn]
- No more gender gap: Women seem to be waking up to reality. The poll found 44% of women say Obama deserves a second term (compared to 43% of men), down from 51% in October.
- The education gap: About two-thirds (66%?) of white voters without college degrees say Obama should be a one-term president, while 33% of those voters say he should get another four years. Among white voters with a college degree, 57% said Obama should be voted out of office.
- Americans still like Skippy: Inexplicably, even though more Americans now disapprove of his job performance, they generally like him personally. Skippy’s personal favorability rating held steady at 53%, with 46% viewing him unfavorably. About three-quarters called him likeable.
- Americans are pessimistic about the future: Only 26% said the United States is headed in the right direction while 70% said the country was moving in the wrong direction.
- All that being said, Americans are uncertain whether a Republican president would be a better choice. Asked whom they would support next November, 47% of adults favored Obama compared with 46% for Romney. Against Gingrich, Obama holds a solid advantage, receiving 51% compared with 42% for the former House speaker. The Obama-Gingrich gap is most striking among Independents, with 54% favoring Skippy over 31% for Newt.
My take on the poll results:
In other words, Americans don’t think Obama is doing a good job, a majority don’t want a second “Hope & Change” term, but they still like him personally. That, added to the fact that the Republican candidates are lackluster, spells trouble for us in 2012.