InTrade predicts Romney wins Iowa

InTrade, which calls itself “The World’s Leading Prediction Market,” is predicting a Mitt Romney win in the Iowa caucuses today.
Intrade is a prediction market that allows you to make predictions on the outcome of hundreds of real-world events. Prediction markets find the probability of something happening – a predefined, uncertain future event. Intrade is a platform where you make predictions by buying and selling shares on the outcome of real-world events. These events are always defined on Intrade as a YES/NO proposition.
Here are its predictions:

  • Mitt Romney: 53.4% chance of winning
  • Ron Paul: 25.9%
  • Rick Santorum: 20.1%
  • Newt Gingrich: 0.6%
  • Rick Perry: 0.3%
  • Michele Bachmann: 0.2%
  • Jon Huntsman: 0.1%
  • Herman Cain: 0.1%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 0.1%
  • Sarah Palin: 0.1%
  • Any other individual: 0.1%


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8 years ago

My oh my… say it ain’t so Eowyn! 🙂 Sorry… I just cannot get behind this guy. I am getting quite discouraged about the candidates who are on the opposing side of Skippy. But, nevertheless… I will continue to stay in prayer about it.
Hope all is well! Missing everyone…Happy New Year! 😀 … just checking in, while in town….God Bless Everyone!

8 years ago

All of the media hype supporting Romney is a way to sway individuals who aren’t politically informed. Everyone likes to pick a winner and when people hear who is leading the pack they tend to follow that lead unless they are knowledgeable about the issues. I object to the media proclaiming the candidate a done deal after just Iowa or New Hampshire. We do have fifty states! Discussions about who the VP will be are also premature since the nominee hasn’t been chosen yet. It is frustrating and a little annoying too.