Earth to satellite: When will you hit — and where?

By MARCIA DUNN – AP Aerospace Writer | AP – 11 hrs ago
I don’t know about you but 1 in 3200 is not that bad. You have a better chance of getting hit with space junk than the lottery or getting struck by lightning.

~ Steve~                                    H/T  igor

By MARCIA DUNN – AP Aerospace Writer | AP – 11 hrs ago
CAPE CANAVERAL, Florida (AP) — NASA scientists are doing their best to tell us where a plummeting six-ton satellite will fall later this week. It’s just that if they’re off a little bit, it could mean the difference between hitting Florida or landing on New York. Or, say, Iran or India.
Pinpointing where and when hurtling space debris will strike is an imprecise science. For now, scientists predict the earliest it will hit is Thursday U.S. time, the latest Saturday. The strike zone covers most of Earth.
Not that citizens need to take cover. The satellite will break into pieces, and NASA put the chances that somebody somewhere will get hurt at just 1-in-3,200.
As far as anyone knows, falling space debris has never injured anyone. Nor has significant property damage been reported. That’s because most of the planet is covered in water and there are vast regions of empty land.
If you do come across what you suspect is a satellite piece, NASA doesn’t want you to pick it up. The space agency says there are no toxic chemicals present, but there could be sharp edges. Also, it’s government property. It’s against the law to keep it as a souvenir or sell it on eBay. NASA’s advice is to report it to the police.
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9 years ago

lol you are so right. I don’t like those odds

9 years ago

Hopefully it’ll land in DC and smack some congresscritters in the heads…

9 years ago

i’m hoping that it crashes into the obama’s. a message from space
i remember when skylab came crashing into earth years ago and john belushi was still alive and on snl he had a model skylab and a globe of the earth and he was reporting on how it could hit here or it could hit here as he jabbed the model into the globe over and over.

9 years ago

Given that this is an enviro-kook created contraption, Al Gore’s mansion roof would be a perfect spot. 🙂

8 years ago

Your calculation is flawed. The 1-in-3200 chance is of *anyone in the world* getting hit by space debris. To calculate the chance of *you in particular* getting hit by space debris, you have to multiply 3200 by the population of the world, which was about 6 billion last time I checked. So the chances of *you in particular* getting hit by space debris is about 1-in-19,000,000,000,000. The chances of *you in particular* winning the lottery is considerably better than that, at about 1-in-10,000,000 depending on which lottery it is.