Drop in Economic Forecast

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Last week jobless benefits claims were up. Today Rasmussen Reports showed that 4 out of 10 Americans strongly disapprove of the way Barack Obama is performing as President.  Now more news:

Forecasts for Growth Drop, Some Sharply

A drumbeat of disappointing data about consumer behavior, factory sales and weak hiring in recent weeks has prompted economists to ratchet down their 2011 economic forecasts to as little as half what they expected at the beginning of the year.

Two months ago, Goldman Sachs projected that the economy would grow at a 4 percent annual rate in the quarter ending in June. The company now expects the government to report no more than 2 percent growth when data for the second quarter is released in a few weeks. Macroeconomic Advisers, a research firm, projected 3.5 percent growth back in April and is now down to just 2.1 percent for this quarter.

Two years into the official recovery, the economy is still behaving like a plane taxiing indefinitely on the runway. Few economists are predicting an out-and-out return to recession, but the risk has increased, with the health of the American economy depending in part on what is really “transitory.”

Economists say the unexpected shocks from Japan and the Middle East in the first half of the year go only partway toward explaining the deceleration. Many worries remain: housing prices have continued to fall, hiring is weak, wages are flat, growth in emerging economies like China and India is slowing and the debt crisis in Europe could have ripple effects.

What’s more, government stimulants like the payroll tax cut and the extension of unemployment benefits are scheduled to expire at the end of this year. With the underlying economy undeniably tepid, economists are concerned that further shocks to the system could knock the country off its slow upward trajectory.

The likelihood of a negative surprise is bigger than the likelihood of a positive surprise,” said Jerry A. Webman, chief economist at OppenheimerFunds.

Glad to know that “hope and change” is working.

DCG

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5 responses to “Drop in Economic Forecast

  1. Good grief. I’m so sorry for those who are jobless and looking….

     
  2. Our economy is on the verge of imploding.

    Just like Obama wants.

    -Dave

     
  3. There are two things necessary to improve the economy. First, we must get out of the Federal Reserve running the money, and have Congress go back to interest free issuance of currency, without the monetizing of debt as now occurs. The Federal Reserve remains unconstitutional. Period.

    Second, we must build up manufacturing as we build up our infrastructure as we scale back (to near zero), American Empire. We simply cannot afford the Military Industrial Complex. It’s guns or butter, not both.

    We don’t own the world, and we should not own the world. Reducing American Empire will also reduce/cut down the toxic Agenda 21, and essentially hobble the UN. It would also allow this nation to walk humbly across the world, working with others, not commanding them. America has not played well with others since the days of Nixon. It has grown worse, no matter who runs the White House and what party runs the Congress. A little disruption to the one party system currently in effect would also go a long way to present a choice between Big Government (growing equally under Republican and Democratic presidents, as can be seen from the Bush presidencies, Reagan, Clinton, and on and on.)

    If you want to call this my third point, it is that we ought to go back to society knowing that a bit of the fear of God, is a good thing. Meaning, we should fear as in love and be frightened of God’s power — to love but not cower before God, as we do what God expects of those that know and fear His grace, might and love for us all.

     
  4. Change… into what they didn’t say.

     
  5. oh wow what a shock obama’s economic recovery a total fraud. the worst president ever has no clue but unfortunately neither does a very large segment of the nation who with rose colored glasses still think everything bad is either a tea partyer or republican and blame GBush is still excepted as obamas mantra..

     

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