Category Archives: fake news

Failure of Polls: 2019 Australia federal election

Political polls are no longer reliable because they are no longer predictive of election results.

The UK Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016, in which 51.9% of those voting supported leaving the EU, was the first sign. 78% of phone polls had predicted that Remain would win; only two online pollsters, Kantar TNS and Opinium, forecasted a Leave victory just ahead of the vote. (Wikipedia)

The U.S. presidential election on November 8, 2016, in which polls had predicted a Hillary Clinton win, was the second sign.

Last Saturday’s Australian federal election is the latest indicator of the failure of polls.

On May 18, 2019, Australia conducted a nation-wide election to elect members of the 46th Parliament: All 151 seats in the House of Representatives (lower house) and 40 of the 76 seats in the Senate (upper house).

Unlike many other democracies, Australia has mandatory voting for all citizens aged 18 and over – or they risk a fine. This year has seen a record 96.8% enrollment rate. In contrast, the voter turnout for the most recent US and UK elections were an estimated 55% and 69% respectively. (BBC)

What this means is that in the case of Australia, the accuracy of pre-election polls would not be affected by voter turnout, which should lend even greater confidence in the accuracy of those polls. As the BBC confidently declared a day before the election:

Australians are voting in a closely-fought general election on Saturday. The poll will decide whether the conservative Liberal-National Coalition wins a third term or is replaced by a Labor administration led by Bill Shorten.

And what were the polls saying?

The graph below shows that although opinion polls have narrowed in recent weeks, the leftist Australian Labor Party still had the edge on a two-party preferred basis on the eve of election day.

The experts also predicted a Labor win:

  • Professor Sally Young, a politics expert from the University of Melbourne, said there was public cynicism about the major parties, and predicted that the bitter party infighting that led to Scott Morrison becoming PM only last August, was likely to harm the government’s standing with voters. Referring to Morrison’s ousting of his predecessor, Young declared: “They’re sick of the sniping and undermining. Knifing a leader – it never goes down well.”
  • Young also predicted that climate change would be a key election issue and that the government’s “lack of action on climate change” would be a critical factor in the election.
  • Citing unnamed “experts,” the BBC said that Morrison’s minority government “fears losing votes to more socially conservative minor parties and independents” in the northern state of Queensland, and is particularly vulnerable in Victoria in the south, where the “progressive” electorate had delivered a resounding victory to Labor in a state election five months ago.

Despite the polls and experts, and in spite of Morrison’s minority coalition government being consistently behind in the polls for the past three years, the government won a third term against the Labor opposition. As Wikipedia puts it:

The result of the 2019 election was in stark contrast to the aggregation of opinion polls conducted over the period of the 45th parliament and the 2019 election campaign. Apart from a few outliers, Labor had been ahead for the entire period, by as much as 56% on a two-party-preferred basis after Scott Morrison took over the leadership of the Liberal Party in August 2018—although during the campaign, Labor’s two-party estimate was between 51 and 52%.[67]

During the ABC’s [Australian Broadcasting Corporation] election coverage, election analyst Antony Green stated “At the moment, on these figures, it’s a bit of a spectacular failure of opinion polling.”—with the election results essentially a mirror image of the polls with the Coalition’s two-party vote at around 51%.[67]

CNN calls the election “a stunning turnaround after every opinion poll over the campaign pointed to a Labor victory. Analysts are now saying Labor lost an ‘unlosable’ election.”

To add insult to injury, not only did the leftist Labor Party lose the election, the formerly minority coalition government led by Morrison actually picked up the net two-seat swing it needed for a majority government. (ABC News)

Readers of FOTM had commented that they no longer answer phone polls. Nor do I.

We no longer respond to political polls because of our correct perception that, like the MSM, pollsters favor Democrats and are hostile to conservatives. I suspect also that many who still respond to polls don’t give honest answers, which is a prudent behavior given the many real instances of conservatives being publicly assaulted, denied service by businesses, and having their food and drinks contaminated by servers. See, for example:

~Eowyn

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Smash the Church and the Gospel spreads quicker

The demons that empowered the Bolsheviks still have one objective: Hurt the Lord by hurting His people


Newsweek: CHINA DEMOLISHES ANOTHER CHURCH, SPARKING FEARS OF CAMPAIGN AGAINST CHRISTIANITY

by Christina Zhao – 01/11/2018

“The Golden Lampstand, a well-known Evangelical megachurch in the city of Linfen, Shanxi province, was dramatically demolished with explosives on Tuesday…”

“Last December, the only Catholic Church in Zhifang, a village near Shaanxi, was destroyed for no apparent reason, 20 years after it opened…”

Read article at https://www.newsweek.com/china-demolishes-another-church-sparking-fears-campaign-against-christianity-777931


As cunning as the devil’s minions are, they are too self deceived to learn that this tactic fails every time

  • Jesus crucified – Result: a new and better Covenant
  • Jerusalem Church crushed – Result: gospel spreads through all Judea and Samaria
  • Jews oppress Paul –  Result: Paul spreads gospel to Rome

Moving forward we see the same principle

China strikes the church, thinking this will break them. Real result, Christians meet quietly in very small numbers, and many more are converted. Why? Because the message spreads much better in quiet earnest conversations and prayers than in big meetings. People aren’t dazzled into the kingdom by massive meetings, they are loved into the family God one at a time.

We see the same devils attempting to move into position the crush the church in America

The LGBT movement is trying to make it a crime to use the wrong gender pronoun. They are still trying to set up bakers in positions where they end up crossing the law when their conscience forbids working for gay weddings.

And the satanic principalities of the Bolsheviks 100 years ago are plainly at work in AOC and Bernie Sanders today, with the same genocidal intent.

And let’s not even waste time on the subject of Fake News.

Last night my dreams troubled me 

As I searched my thoughts for help I remembered a scripture that has brought me peace on many dark nights during the past 40+ years of my christian walk, and it worked for me this morning.

Romans 8:35-38 answers these threats with comfort and encouragement: 

“Who shall separate us from the love of Christ? Shall trouble or hardship or persecution or famine or nakedness or danger or sword? As it is written:

‘For your sake we face death all day long; 
we are considered as sheep to be slaughtered.’ 

No, in all these things we are more than conquerors through him who loved us. For I am convinced that neither death nor life, neither angels nor demons,  neither the present nor the future, nor any powers, neither height nor depth, nor anything else in all creation, will be able to separate us from the love of God that is in Christ Jesus our Lord.”

PEACE

~ TD

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Approaching Event Horizon

Impending Action on the Swamp


https://www.brighteon.com/6029966694001

I don’t often give ear these days to Alex Jones, but this time I am listening. Why am I listening? Because I also noticed that Hillary has emerged again in fighting mode after a long period in hiding. Alex may have the correct explanation. 

Hillary has been very hard to find for a while, but has now come out with an outrageous(er) accusation against President Trump. She is now openly calling for criminal prosecution of the President. In the mean time, Trump has been flipping one Deep State operative after another to move all his forces into place for an all-out take-down of the criminals who have been abusing the nation for a long time.

Keep our President and his close circle in prayer, especially against assassination attempts. And let us keep our hearts in the right place by remembering this key scripture:

“If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.” – 2 Chronicles 7:14

Based on this word, our victory does not come by superior force of arms, or by any one “Fearless Leader,” but by God’s people (however few or many) getting right with God. It is a direct proposition that when we do this, He will do that.

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Monday funnies!

DCG

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Covington Catholic High school student sues NBC for $275M

I hope the kid prevail$.

From Fox News: Covington Catholic High School student Nicholas Sandmann is suing NBCUniversal for a whopping $275 million over the media coverage he received earlier this year, his lawyer said Wednesday.

Sandmann was at the center of a viral controversy back in January, alongside reports suggesting that he and his classmates had initiated a confrontation with Native American elder Nathan Phillips outside the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C. Subsequent reporting and video evidence contradicted that version of events.

Sandmann’s attorney, Todd V. McMurty, announced the defamation suit against NBCUniversal.

“NBCUniversal created a false narrative by portraying the ‘confrontation’ as a ‘hate crime’ committed by Nicholas,” the lawsuit read, saying Sandmann was “an easy target for NBCUniversal to advance its anti-Trump agenda because he was a 16-year-old white, Catholic student who had attended the Right to Life March that day and was wearing a MAGA cap at the time of the incident which he had purchased earlier in the day as a souvenir.”

This marks the third major lawusit Sandmann’s legal team has launched. The team is also suing The Washington Post for $250 million as well as CNN for $275 million. McMurty previously suggested that The Associated Press and HBO could face simiilar lawsuits.

NBCUniversal did not immediately respond to Fox News’ request for comment.

DCG

Lawsuits cost money. 16-year-old Nicholas Sandmann’s parents are asking for your help. To donate, go to https://www.catholicvote.org/give/justicefornick/?REF=051

I wouldn’t ask if I haven’t donated ($25) myself.

~Eowyn

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Measles Vaccination: NYC sues 12 for defying mandatory vaccination; Times of Israel fakes photo of baby with measles

On March 26, 2019, New York’s Rockland County was the first in the U.S. to declare a medical martial law via an executive order by county executive and former police officer Ed Day, banning from public places and even threatening to imprison children who were not vaccinated against measles.

Days later, sanity returned when the state’s Supreme Court ruled in favor of parents who challenged the medical state-of-emergency in court. Acting Supreme Court Justice Rolf Thorsen ruled that the ban cannot be enforced and ordered that all children affected by the ban be immediately returned to school and welcomed in public spaces. Thorsen also noted that 166 measles cases in a county population of 330,000 over six months doesn’t constitute an “epidemic” meriting an emergency declaration.

But the state Supreme Court’s ruling didn’t stop New York City (NYC) from doing exactly what Rockland County had done — declaring a medical state-of-emergency.

On April 9, 2019, NYC Commissioner of Health Oxiris Barbot, M.D., declared a “public health emergency” of “an active outbreak of measles” in the Williamsburg neighborhood of Brooklyn, New York (zip codes 11205, 11206, 11221 and 11249). According to Barbot, “Since September 2018, more than 250 cases of measles have been documented among people living in Williamsburg and that number continues to grow as new cases are still occurring”. (Read Barbot’s order here.)

Barbot ordered mandatory measles vaccination for all residents of Williamsburg.

Her Order specified that all persons, including children older than six months of age, who live, work or reside within the 11205, 11206, 11221 and/or 11249 zip codes and who had not received the MMR vaccine within 48 hours of the Order must be vaccinated against measles “unless such person can demonstrate immunity to the disease or document to the satisfaction of the Department that he or she should be medically exempt from this requirement”.  Failure to comply with the Order is a misdeamenor and violation of §3.05of the NYC Health Code, “for which you may be subject to civil and/or criminal fines, forfeitures and penalties, including imprisonment.”

On April 27, 2019, Activist Post reports that 12 people in Williamsburg were issued civil summonses for not complying with the mandatory measles vaccination order. They must attend a hearing and face a fine of up to $1,000 if found to be noncompliant.

A civil summons is a legal document informing someone that a lawsuit has been filed against him or her, and that a response is required by a set date and time. The document must be served by an officer of the court or an authorized process server.

Meanwhile, Gary King of 153News.net discovered that The Times of Israel engaged in deception in a November 1, 2018 news report on the Israeli Health Ministry considering banning unvaccinated children from schools because of the death from measles of an 18-month-old infant, the “first such incident in 15 years”.

This is the heartbreaking pic that The Times of Israel used for the article:

Note that the caption of the pic says:

Illustrative: Newborn baby suffering from measles. (iStock by Getty Images/andriano_cz)

The only problem is this: As explained by King’s video (below), the actual iStock image is of a healthy newborn baby, to which The Times of Israel photoshopped fake digital measles.

If you have truth on your side, why is there the need to lie?

H/t Vivian Lee

See also:

~Eowyn

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Colbert and Kimmel are Mockers

He mocks proud mockers
but gives grace to the humble. The wise inherit honor,
but fools He holds up to shame.
– Proverbs 3:34-35

These men make their living by mocking conservatives. It’s their bread and butter. They have the right to do this in a nation with the 1st Amendment. But our constitution is not the only authority in play.

All through Psalms and Proverbs are warnings against being or sitting in the seat of the mocker. Such people will be brought down, not by us, or on our timing, but by the Lord, who will judge all things.

 

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Fake hate crime: Jewish owners of restaurant staged city’s ‘worst ever’ anti-Semitic hate-crime

On April 18, 2019, the BerMax Caffé on Corydon Avenue in Winnipeg, Canada, was robbed, a woman assaulted, and the restaurant’s interior trashed and the walls spray-painted with anti-Semitic graffiti.

At the time, Winnipeg police Constable Rob Carver told media the attack was one of the “worst” hate crimes he had seen as a police officer.

According to a CBC News report, at around 10:45 p.m. on April 18, Winnipeg police were called to BerMax Caffé and Bistro, where they found the restaurant “severly vandalized” and spray-painted with anti-Semitic graffiti. The place was almost entirely destroyed, with plates and glasses smashed to pieces, tables and chairs flipped over and other items scattered across the floor. A woman had been assaulted and was taken to hospital in stable condition, treated and released. A robbery might also have taken place.

Const. Carver told reporters at a news conference the next day that the same restaurant has been targeted with similar crimes four times in the past five months. A GoFundMe page was set up by Robbie Kfir Mulder-Kiesman to support the café after a previous incident last month.

Elaine Goldstine, chief executive officer of the Jewish Federation of Winnipeg, said previous incidents were limited to anti-Semitic graffiti, but this violent attack “has taken things to the next level. I just can’t fathom how or why people would want to do such a terrible act. We are horrified and saddended.” Goldstine noted that the attack on BerMax took place the evening before Passover, a major Jewish holiday.

Adam Levy, communications director of the Jewish Federation of Winnipeg, said: “We’re absolutely in awe to be honest, we’re in shock about this senseless act of hatred which has taken place in our own community, in our own backyard. It’s the most brazen act of anti-Semitism that we’ve seen in our community, and perhaps ever. We hope this is not a sign of things to come.”

But according to a new CBC News report on April 24, 2019, Winnipeg police now say the hate-crime had been staged by the Jewish owners of BerMax themselves. 

All three members of the family that owns BerMax Caffé and Bistro — Alexander Berent, 56, Oxana Berent, 48, and Maxim Berent, 29 — were arrested and charged with public mischief. They were released and are slated to appear in court in May.

Winnipeg police Chief Danny Smyth said the investigation has been a significant waste of police resources: “Over 25 officers have invested nearly 1,000 hours through a busy holiday weekend trying to bring this investigation to a close. The anti-Semitic graffiti and vandalism were also falsely reported as being done by outside suspects. In the end, we found evidence of a crime. It just wasn’t a hate crime.”

Winnipeg Mayor Brian Bowman called the alleged fabrication disgusting and said if the mischief charges are proven in court, the actions of the accused would represent a “breach of trust” in the community.

The Jewish Federation of Winnipeg said in a written statement: “We are shocked and deeply disturbed by today’s news. It is deplorable that anyone would make false allegations of anti-Semitism, especially claims of such a serious nature, for any kind of gain. False complaints of criminal acts of anti-Semitism are not only illegal, they undermine the important work necessary to counter anti-Semitism and hate in all forms. We reiterate our appreciation of the work of the Winnipeg Police Service and their continued support for the Jewish community.”

But the Berents insist they didn’t fake anything.

In a tearful interview with Ismaila Alfa, host of CBC Manitoba’s afternoon radio show, Up to Speed, Oxana Berent denied faking the hate-crime and that she would never invent a story about an anti-Semitic crime because of her family’s experiences: “We didn’t, because we don’t joke about swastikas on our walls. My grandmother’s family, they died in the Holocaust. Just her and her little brother survived, the whole family. We don’t joke about that.”

See also these other fake hate-crimes:

~Eowyn

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Man who dropped out of Seattle City Council race last year exposes city & allies’ coordinated efforts to mislead the public on their homelessness crisis

Last November I told you how Christopher Rufo, a candidate for Seattle City Council, dropped out of the race due to the intolerance and bullying of Seattle progressives.

Rufo, who describes himself socially progressive and fiscally conservative, dared to attend an event sponsored by a conservative group. That earned him the wrath of local progressives – along with many threats.

From my post last November:

“Christopher Rufo said that he wanted a new way of doing business, a new method — and now he’s already out. On Wednesday, he sent an email out to members of his campaign saying that he’s got to leave. It’s not because he wants to leave; it’s because of the “tolerant” atmosphere in Seattle.

“I had hoped that this would be a campaign of ideas, but I quickly discovered that the activists in this city have no interest in ideas. Since the campaign launch, they have harassed and threatened my family nonstop. I was prepared to take the heat, but unfortunately, they have focused their hatred on my wife and children. They’ve made vile racist attacks against my wife, attempted to get her fired from Microsoft, and threatened sexual violence. They have even posted hateful messages to my 8-year-old son’s school Facebook page. I know that as the race progresses, the activists will ratchet up their hate-machine and these attacks will intensify significantly.”

Last week, Christopher exposed a component of what is really happening with the ideologues in that city: the elites, city leaders and their allies have been coordinating a PR campaign to convince everyone that everything is fine with their homelessness crisis.

From Christopher’s article at City Journal:

In Seattle, people are losing patience with city leadership over the homelessness crisis, but the frustration is running in both directions: the city’s political, cultural, and academic elites are conducting their own revolt—against the people.

Since the release of Eric Johnson’s documentary Seattle Is Dying, which depicts an epidemic of street homelessness, addiction, crime, and disorder, city elites have launched a coordinated information campaign targeted at voters frustrated with the city’s response to homelessness. Earlier this month, leaked documents revealed that a group of prominent nonprofits—the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Campion Advocacy Fund, the Raikes Foundation, and the Ballmer Group—hired a PR firm, Pyramid Communications, to conduct polling, create messaging, and disseminate the resulting content through a network of silent partners in academia, the press, government, and the nonprofit sector. The campaign, #SeattleForAll, is a case study in what writer James Lindsay calls “idea laundering”—creating misinformation and legitimizing it as objective truth through repetition in sympathetic media.

The key messages of the campaign include a number of misleading claims, including: “Seattle is making progress to end homelessness,” “1 in 4 people experiencing homelessness in our community struggle with drug or alcohol abuse,” and “[62 percent of Seattle voters believe] we are not spending enough to address homelessness.” All three contentions fail to meet basic scrutiny: street homelessness has increased 131 percent over the past five years; King County’s lawsuit against Purdue Pharma admits that “the majority of the homeless population is addicted to or uses opioids” (not one in four); and 62 percent of Seattle voters agree to the statement “we are not spending enough” only when it is directly prefaced in the polling questionnaire by the phrase “other cities of the same size are spending 2 to 3 times the amount that Seattle is and are seeing significant reductions in homelessness”—itself an unsubstantiated claim. (When the same question is presented neutrally, without the framing, support for “we are not spending enough” drops to 7 percent).

Nonetheless, the media have widely circulated or echoed Pyramid’s talking points. “New poll shows the majority in Seattle say we have a moral obligation to help homeless people, and we need to spend more,” declared Seattle Times data journalist Gene Balk. Catherine Hinrichsen, director of Seattle University’s Project on Family Homelessness, published “6 reasons why KOMO’s [Seattle’s ABC affiliate, which broadcast Seattle Is Dying] take on homelessness is the wrong one” in the local magazine Crosscut, arguing that the documentary “conflates homelessness with drug use, mental illness, and crime.” And Seattle mayor Jenny Durkan told reporters that “we have made a lot of progress” and dismissed the documentary as “an opinion piece.” Her office pushed the #SeattleForAll messaging on government social media channels.

This is “progress” in Seattle’s homelessness crisis…

Many of the authors and news outlets that published the #SeattleForAll messaging failed to disclose that their work is funded by the same group of foundations that hired Pyramid Communications, and that their content is distributed in direct coordination with Pyramid and the City of Seattle. For example, in her story, Hinrichsen neglects to mention that the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is the sole funder of her work at the Project on Family Homelessness; the publisher, Crosscut, does not reveal that the Gates and Raikes foundations are major funders of their operations and their homelessness coverage.”

Christopher sums it up this way:

“The inner workings of the #SeattleForAll campaign tell a clear story: a group of well-funded philanthropies hired a PR firm to produce misleading polling results, distributed them through the city’s main newspaper and other media outlets (many of which enjoy generous donations from those same philanthropies), and then concealed the fact that the messaging was part of a broader campaign coordinated with the city.”

Read his whole story here.

Man, I really wish Mr. Rufo could have stuck it through to become a city council candidate (yet I completely understand why he didn’t). This guy has what is truly lacking in that city: true bi-partisan leadership skills.

Follow Christopher Rufo on Twitter here.

DCG

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Teen Vogue asks, “Is there something called biological sex?”

Yes, there is. The answer is rooted in real “science” and “biology.”

But according to Teen Vogue, “who you are is who you say you are.”

Who I say I am…trans species!

Who I say I am…genderless alien!

Who I say I am…trans abled!

I can’t even with these people and their feeeeeeeeeeeeelings.

DCG

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