FROM JEROME CORSI’S RED ALERT
REAL unemployment rate: 22.4%
Exposed! How government lies with job statistics
Editor’s Note: The following report is excerpted from Jerome Corsi’s Red Alert, the premium online newsletter published by the current No. 1 best-selling author, WND staff writer and senior managing director of the Financial Services Group at Gilford Securities.
The real unemployment rate for December 2011 is closer to 22.4 percent, not the 8.5 percent reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Jerome Corsi’s Red Alert reports.
In the Jan. 6 Bureau of Labor Statistics news release, the unemployment rate was reported to have fallen 0.2 percent to 8.7 percent, as revised for November 2011.
Williams recreates a Shadow Government Statistics alternative unemployment rate reflecting methodology that includes “long-term discouraged workers” that the Bureau of Labor Statistics (in 1994 under the Clinton administration) redefined those considered “unemployed.”
The BLS no longer considers as “unemployed” those workers without jobs who have not looked for work in the past year because they feel no jobs are available.
Williams has demonstrated that it takes an expert to truly decipher BLS unemployment statistics. For instance, in Table A-15, titled “Alternative measures of labor underutilization,” the BLS reports what is known as “U6 unemployment.” U6 unemployment includes those marginally attached to the labor force and the “under-employed,” those who have accepted part-time jobs when they are really looking for full-time employment.
While the BLS was reporting seasonally adjusted unemployment in December 2011 at only 8.5 percent, it was also reporting U6 seasonally adjusted unemployment in December 2011 was 15.2 percent.
The only measure BLS reports to the public as the official monthly unemployment rate is the seasonally adjusted U3 number.
Williams calculates his “Official SGS Alternative Unemployment Rate” by adding back into to the BLS U6 numbers those long-term discouraged workers who have not looked for work in the past year.
Interestingly, Williams’ “Official SGS Alternative Unemployment Rate” shows unemployment in December 2011 was 22.4 percent, the same as in December 2010, whereas the BLS figures were designed to report nearly a one-point decline, from a seasonally adjusted U3 rate of 9.4 percent in December 2010 to a 8.5 percent rate in December 2011.
~Tom in NC