The polls say the race is tight, but what do they know? — especially given some polls’ oversampling of Democrats.
Here are 5 big reasons why we should be hopeful.
1. Independents are breaking for Mitt Romney.
Michael Barone, senior political analyst for the Washington Examiner, writes “most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery […] Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who don’t identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, break for Romney. That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39% to 32%, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting — and about their candidate — than they were in 2008, and Democrats are less so. That’s been apparent in early or absentee voting, in which Democrats trail their 2008 numbers in target states Virginia, Ohio, Iowa and Nevada.” Bottom line: Barone predicts an Electoral Vote win for Romney of 315 vs. Obama’s 223.
2. Democrats are behaving like people who think they are going to lose.
This is the thesis of former Democrat Kevin DuJan of HillBuzz, who writes: “Democrats know they are going to lose big. […] It all started with Obama making the ‘You didn’t build that; somebody else made that happen’ statement in July [….] But, after his disastrous debate performance in Denver the election has really and truly been over for this man…and the only thing left to resolve is just how big a win Mitt Romney is going to have. Democrats are under no delusion that Obama can still win.” DuJan points to these behavioral indicators:
- A home has been purchased for the Obamas via a blind trust on the island of Oahu that will serve as the Obamas’ temporary residence beginning in January of 2013 until a grander, custom-built mansion can be completed for them in the next few years. Why on Earth have wealthy bankers bought a new home for the Obamas in Hawaii that will be occupied in January 2013 if these people think the Obamas will win?
- Obama’s “bright young thing” staffers are shopping their resumes and trying to land jobs in Chicago, New York, Philly, DC, or LA because they know they will be unemployed come January 2013.
- Aggressive fundraising (led by big Obama donor Penny Pritzker) is starting now, not years down the road, for the Barack Obama Center for Social Justice and presidential library which will constructed at the University of Hawaii near Honolulu.
- The Obama campaign has booked McCormick Place instead of Grant Park for his election night event in Chicago tomorrow. McCormick Place is an isolated and fortress-like facility that’s not conducive to large throngs of supporters assembling unwanted and is the polar opposite from the seat of Obama’s 2008 cult rally in the heart of Chicago that was designed to host a victorious crowd of many thousands. This is not the election night event of a candidate who thinks he has any chance in Hell of winning and is instead the plans for the Obama concession speech.
- Nancy Pelosi is preparing the terms of her retirement from Congress when previously she’d bragged that she’d be restored as Speaker of the House. This means she doesn’t believe she’ll regain control of the House and be Speaker after tomorrow. Although San Francisco will reelect her to another term in Congress, don’t expect her to serve it. There will be a special election to replace her next year and she’ll unceremoniously retire from Congress rather than accept marginalization to a position of irrelevance after having called the shots more or less for the last 10 years. If Democrats have given up on winning back the House then they have realized that Obama is not going to win reelection because if Obama won reelection they would also win the House. In DuJan’s words: “I do not see a scenario where Obama would win the election but Democrats would also not win the House; it’s actually not possible because the exact same factors needed for Obama to win reelection are the same ones at the state level that Democrats need to take back the House and reinstall Nancy Pelosi as Speaker (as she insisted would happen up until, oh, around the time of the Denver Presidential Debate).”
3. Big Businesses are behaving like Romney will win.
- Walt Disney World is already at work on a Mitt Romney figure for its Hall of Presidents. Kevin DuJan notes that “Disney didn’t make one this early for Dole in 1996 or for either Bush or Gore at this point in 2000 (and never bothered to start one for Kerry or John McCain, either).”
- TV executives are looking at Michelle Obama to host her own daytime television program. Former CNN president Jon Klein told TV Guide magazine Mooch would be snapped up by TV chiefs if her husband does not win a second term in office: “Daytime syndicators are desperate for a new voice and she is tailor made for it.”
4. There are cracks in Obama’s base among blacks.
Rebel Pundit of Breitbart.com: “Over the past few weeks we have begun to see the ultimate unraveling of support for the president, with women and youth fleeing from his side. But what is even more surprising and perhaps unimaginable to the president and his faithful media cult is that he is now also losing members of his normally deemed ‘untouchable’ base of support—poor, inner-city black Americans.”
5. There is no enthusiasm for Obama in Berkeley, the bastion of the Left.
I haven’t seen a single Obama 2012 bumpersticker or yard sign or dorm or apartment window sign in Berkeley, California.
In 2008, those signs were everywhere in this belly of the Progressive beast. Even in 2006, two years after John Kerry had lost the election to George W., Berkeley was still overrun with Kerry-Edwards stickers (who honestly can get excited about John Kerry)?
But this year, not a single Obama sticker or sign. I have seen one Obama bumpersticker — but it’s an old one, left over from 2008, and the owner of the car hasn’t bothered to slap a 2012 sticker over it.
For all these reasons, I am optimistic about tomorrow’s E-Day. But if wishes were horses, beggars would fly. We each need to do our share to make a Romney-Ryan win a reality:
- Make sure your like-minded family, friends, and neighbors vote!
- Give a ride to someone who needs transportation to the polling place.
- Be an informal poll watcher by taking a picture of anything suspicious with your cell phone camera.
- Pray. Pray. Pray. Pray with all your might and ask for God’s mercy, forgiveness, and intervention.
May God bless America.