Tag Archives: Congressional Budget Office

Obamacare is disincentive to work; will decrease workforce by 2.5M

inflatable poop

Yet more evidence that Obamacare is a giant piece of turd.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) just crunched its numbers on the disastrous economic impact of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), better and more accurately known as Obamacare. Human nature being what it is — selfish and self-interested — Americans are expected to reduce the number of their work hours so that they’ll qualify for Obamacare subsidies. In other words, Obamacare is a disincentive to work.

The CBO estimates the result will be 2.5 million fewer workers by the year 2024. Fewer people working, in turn, means:

  • Less tax revenue for the government
  • More government spending on “entitlements” welfare
  • More government deficits and higher national debt
  • Higher taxes on those who still work and pay income taxes

Here are excerpts from the CBO’s report, “Appendix C: Labor Market Effects of the Affordable Care Act: Updated Estimates“:

The ACA’s largest impact on labor markets will probably occur after 2016, once its major provisions have taken full effect and overall economic output nears its maximum sustainable level. CBO estimates that the ACA will reduce the total number of hours worked, on net, by about 1.5 percent to 2.0 percent during the period from 2017 to 2024, almost entirely because workers will choose to supply less laborgiven the new taxes and other incentives they will face and the financial benefits some will receive.

reduced incentives to work attributable to the Affordable Care Act (ACA)with most of the impact arising from new subsidies for health insurance purchased through exchanges—will have a larger negative effect on participation toward the end of that period.

The reduction in CBO’s projections of hours worked represents a decline in the number of full-time-equivalent workers of about 2.0 million in 2017, rising to about 2.5  million in 2024. Although CBO projects that total employment (and compensation) will increase over the coming decade, that increase will be smaller than it would have been in the absence of the ACA.

The number of people who will receive exchange subsidies—and who thus will face an implicit tax from the phaseout of those subsidies that discourages them from workingwill be smaller initially than it will be in later years. The number of enrollees (workers and their dependents) purchasing their own coverage through the exchanges is projected to rise from about 6 million in 2014 to about 25 million in 2017 and later years, and most of those enrollees will receive subsidies. Although the number of people who will be eligible for exchange subsidies is similar from year to year, workers who are eligible but do not enroll may either be unaware of their eligibility or be unaffected by it and thus are unlikely to change their supply of labor in response to the availability of those subsidies.

CBO’s estimate that the ACA will reduce aggregate labor compensation in the economy by about 1 percent over the 2017–2024 period—compared with what would have occurred in the absence of the act—is substantially larger than the estimate the agency issued in August 2010.

H/t ZeroHedge

~Eowyn

Medicare cuts benefits to pay for Obamacare

tohurt

Dr. Laurie Roth is a political commentator and host of the nationally syndicated political talk show, The Roth Show. Roth has a Ph.D. in counseling; she is not an M.D.

On Feb. 21, 2013, NewsWithViews published an essay of Roth’s with the alarming title “Obamacare is a Killing Machine and Millions Will Die.” Here are excerpts:

This week I gasped in horror when I learned that Obama care had ordered Medicare to cut reimbursement for 4 million diabetic seniors by 66%. It also reduced all the companies that were supplying blood sugar monitoring supplies from 1000 to 15. I also learned via the research of Elizabeth Vliet M.D. that one of her 80 year old patients was told he was not covered anymore by Medicare when he went to the pharmacy so couldn’t get his medication. His choice was to pay cash or die.

Pause for a second and snap out of being mildly annoyed and grow a backbone and a few fangs over this. Just with Diabetic and Heart patients alone you are talking many millions of people, mostly seniors with coverage simply cut off or largely cut back — setting them up to die. That is unless they are millionaires and can afford expensive medication out of pocket. This is called as in the days of Nazi Germany, targeting a group of people for extermination and murdering them.

Millions will suffer and many will die just representing the pull back of coverage with Diabetic and Heart disease patients. Think about all the other diseases and seniors represented with dramatic or total cut backs by Medicare. Just as in Britain’s socialized medicine now, state-of-the-art drugs will be denied for all kinds of common cancer, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis and others.

Medicare is cutting reimbursements to diabetics by as much as 66%? Elderly people are told their prescription meds are no longer covered by Medicare?

Those are very alarming assertions, but Roth provided no sources for her claims. So I scoured the Internet to look for confirmation of the claims.

There is a Dr. Elizabeth Vliet, M.D., who founded the Hormone Health Strategies medical practices in Tucson AZ and Dallas TX. Here’s her web-site. For Dr. Vliet’s op-eds on Obamacare, go here. But I cannot find any writing of Vliet’s about her 80-year-0ld patient being denied Medicare coverage for his medication.

What I did find is an article by Dr. Susan Berry for Breitbart.com, Feb. 20, 2013, on recently-announced Medicare cuts to fund Obamacare. Here are excerpts:

During the 2012 election campaign, Democrats denied that ObamaCare made $716 billion in cuts to Medicare in order to provide funding toward $1.9 trillion in new entitlement spending over the next ten years.

In an announcement on Friday, however, the Obama administration revealed that it would be significantly reducing funding for Medicare, a move that one health insurance analyst said “would turn almost every plan in the industry unprofitable.”

Health insurance stocks tumbled following the announcement that a big chunk of the Medicare cuts would come from the popular Medicare Advantage program, a market-oriented system in which participants can choose coverage by a private company that contracts with Medicare to provide all Part A and Part B benefits.

According to health care analyst Carl McDonald, the new rates proposed by the Obama administration will have the net effect of reducing payments to Medicare Advantage plans by 7% to 8% in 2014. [...] According to Richard Foster, former chief actuary to the Medicare program, ObamaCare’s cuts to Medicare Advantage will likely force half of its current participants back into the old Medicare program, originated in 1965. It is estimated that this change will cost Medicare enrollees an average of $3,714 in 2017 alone.

Democrats have long been unfriendly toward the Medicare Advantage plan, which was passed as part of the Balanced Budget Amendment of 1997 and has seen tremendous growth over the past 10 years. Today, more than 25 percent of seniors receive their health benefits through Medicare Advantage.

[...] The administration’s proposal is open to outside comments until March 1st, ahead of the final announcement of the cuts on April 1st.

What I do know is that in 2012, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) calculated that Obamacare (or the Patient Protection Affordable Care Act) will require more than $1.7 trillion in gross federal spending over the period 2012–2022, some of which will be offset by penalties and tax increases related to coverage, resulting in net spending of more than $1.2 trillion for the insurance portion of the bill.

That net federal spending of more than $1.2 trillion will have to come from somewhere. That somewhere includes Medicare.

Elections have consequences.

I hope all those currently receiving Medicare — 40 million people age 65 and older, and 8 million younger people who are receiving Social Security Disability Insurance payments — who had voted for the POS last November, are happy.

H/t FOTM reader Joan W.

~Eowyn

Since Obamacare’s Passage, Millions Have Lost Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance

Well done skippy. What a Putz.  Steve

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he makes my head hurt. Oy Vey..

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4:42 PM, Nov 11, 2011 • By JEFFREY H. ANDERSON

Throughout the Obamacare debate, President Obama repeatedly promised, “If you like your health care plan, you can keep your health care plan.” Now, Gallup reports that from the first quarter of 2010 (when Obama signed Obamacare into law) to the third quarter of this year, 2 percent of American adults lost their employer sponsored health insurance. In other words, about 4.5 million Americans lost their employer-sponsored insurance over a span of just 18 months.

This is not what the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had predicted would happen. Rather, the CBO had predicted that Obamacare would increase the number of people with employer-sponsored insurance by now. It had predicted that, under Obamacare, 6 million more Americans would have employer-sponsored insurance in 2011 than in 2010 (see table 4, which shows the CBO’s projected increase of 3 million under (pre-Obamacare) current law and an additional 3 million under Obamacare). So the CBO’s rosy projections for Obamacare (and even these paint a frightening picture) are already proving false.

For rest of story Pls Go HERE

Memo to Occupy Wall St: Obama’s Your Man!

This guy gets it.

Seen at an Occupy protest in Jersey City yesterday:

[Source: UK's Daily Mail]

After the 2008 $700 billion bailout of the fat cats of Wall Street — which increased the U.S. federal debt ceiling to $11.3 trillion from  $10.6 trillion — the Obama administration supported a second bailout of Wall Street  even bigger than what Congress wanted — than the bailout already approved by the House, the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act., sponsored by those two fat-cats-loving Democrats Barney Frank and Chris Dodd.

The Obama administration wanted the Federal Reserve to have unlimited amounts of money in the form of “loans” to failing businesses deemed to be friends of the Fed and “too big to fail.” The House bill contains an authorization for the Federal Reserve for $4 trillion in “secured loans” to bailout individuals, partnerships or corporations in financial distress. See page 506 of the House passed bill. [Source: Big Government, April 21, 2010]

I’ll write more on that $4 trillion in a future post.

On April 21, 2010, the Congressional Budget Office released a cost-estimate of enacting the legislation. The CBO admitted it “has not determined whether the estimated costs under the Act would be smaller or larger than the costs of alternative approaches to addressing future financial crises and the risks they pose to the economy as a whole.”

Despite that, Obama signed the second Wall St. bailout act into law on July 21, 2010.

A Wall Street Journal opinion piece speculated that the law would make it more expensive for startups to raise capital and create new jobs.

~Eowyn

Obama’s Economic Advisor Thinks America is “Pretty Darn F*cked”

Christina Romer, 52, was appointed by Barry Soetoro to be the chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. After she [social]engineered Obama’s and the Democratic Congress’ “job-creating” stimulus package, she quit and returned to being Garff B. Wilson Professor of Economics (an endowed chair) at the University of California, Berkeley.

The stimulus ended up decidedly unstimulating to the US economy. Instead, according to none other than the Congressional Budget Office, the stimulus cost the federal government another $787 billion in deficits.

Last Friday Night, August 5, 2011, Romer decided she’s now a comedienne and used the crashing U.S. economy — that she had a hand in crashing — as her “ha ha” act.

Appearing on HBO’s “Real Time with Bill Maher”, Romer said that the S&P credit downgrade was a sign that the country is “pretty darn fucked.” (at the 0:29 mark)

At which, the audience laughed and laughed, and Romer’s fat face scrunched up in a big smile — ’cause, you know, it’s just so darn funny that America our country is in such economic dire straits! Yuck, Yuck! Hardy har har!

Then Romer says, “Policy would be better if we listened to the experts” such as herself.

When foul-mouthed Maher lashes out at Romer for her dogged defense of the president, saying to her, “Fuck you! He fucked up. He’s not your boyfriend,” Romer defends Skippy: “He made lots of good decisions, and they were based on science, they were based on the evidence, they were based on the best evidence that he had.”

Then Romer declares that the problem with the stimulus is that “it should have been even bigger” and recommends a second even bigger stimulus.

Einstein was right. Truly, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, and expecting different results.

H/t Daily Caller, via Uncoverage.

~Eowyn

Screwed by the Speaker

Government Do These Numbers Show the Budget Deal Was a ‘Gigantic Fraud?’

Mark Levin has already called the budget deal an “historic scam.” Now, respected website Business Insider and its number cruncher Joe Weisenthal have dubbed it a “gigantic fraud,“ while conservative cornerstone National Review calls it a ”fake.” And when you see the numbers, you might agree.

Weisenthal had a look at the analysis put out by National Journal (via the CBO) that says the total savings from the new deal (possible pun) are nowhere near the touted $38 billion. That number is only reached by numbers gimmicks. Rather, the number is closer to $352 million. NJ explains:

A comparison prepared by the CBO shows that the omnibus spending bill, advertised as containing some $38.5 billion in cuts, will only reduce federal outlays by $352 million below 2010 spending rates. The nonpartisan budget agency also projects that total outlays are actually some $3.3 billion more than in 2010, if emergency spending is included in the total.

The astonishing result, according to CBO, is the result of several factors: increases in spending, especially at the Defense Department; decisions to draw over half of the savings from recissions; and cuts to reserve funds and and money for mandatory-spending programs that might never have been spent.

Here’s what Weisenthal has to say about that:

[Y]esterday’s analysis showed that the savings were probably just half [of the $38 billion], since a lot of the savings came from not spending money that was never going to be spent.Turns out, the spending cuts are even more minimal than that.

So yeah, total joke. This certainly doesn’t make it any easier for Tea Partiers to vote for the deal, or for Boehner to come up with another compromise when debt ceiling time comes.

“Total joke” in a piece that includes “gigantic fraud” in the title. That’s not good. But wait, there’s more.

The editors of National Review put out a scathing piece saying essentially the same thing (in many more words). They even used the word “fake” on their front page:

Here’s what they had to say:

We initially supported the deal House Speaker John Boehner cut with the White House to cut $38.5 billion from the rest of the fiscal year 2011 budget. It was only a pittance in the context of all of Washington’s red ink, but it seemed an acceptable start, even if we assumed it would be imperfect in its details. What we didn’t assume was that the agreement would be shot through with gimmicks and one-time savings. What had looked in its broad outlines like a modest success now looks like a sodden disappointment.

After describing some of the gimmicks used to reach the large number, the editors go on to blast Speaker John Boehner:

There’s realism and then there’s cynicism. This deal — oversold and dependent on classic Washington budget trickery — comes too close to the latter. John Boehner has repeatedly said he’s going to reject “business as usual,” but that’s what he’s offered his caucus. It’s one thing for Tea Party Republicans to vote for a cut that falls short of what they’d get if the controlled all of Washington; it’s another thing for them, after making so much of bringing transparency and honesty to the Beltway, to vote for a deal sold partly on false pretenses.

 

Boehner is a joke and a shameless liar just like Obama. We are truly screwed.

Posted by Tom in NC

Social Security Broke: $45B Deficit in 2011

CBO: Social Security to Run $45 Billion Deficit in 2011

By Matt Cover - CNS News – Jan 27, 2011

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reports that Social Security will effectively run a $45-billion deficit in 2011 and continue to run deficits totaling $547 billion over the coming decade.

The admission comes in the CBO’s semi-annual economic review that projects federal spending, debt, and economic growth. In the report, the CBO also examines the impact of projected economic performance on the trust fund that nominally funds Social Security. “Excluding interest, surpluses for Social Security become deficits of $45 billion in 2011 and $547 billion over the 2012–2021 period,” the CBO reported.

This means that in order to pay benefits Social Security will need $45 billion more than it will collect in payroll taxes this year, and $547 billion more over the next decade.

The “interest” the CBO mentions is the interest that the federal government owes to the Social Security trust fund because the trust fund is legally obligated to take Treasury bonds – federal government debt – in exchange for the cash revenues raised by Social Security payroll taxes.

The CBO uses the interest payments on the bonds to account for the difference between what Social Security collects in taxes and what it pays out in benefits, if benefit payments exceed tax receipts.

Normally, payroll taxes are used to pay current Social Security benefits, with any excess revenues being exchanged for Treasury bonds. Because the Social Security trust fund is populated with these bonds, the federal government essentially owes interest on those bonds to itself, providing the CBO with another apparent source of revenue for the funds.

However, the fund is not taking in enough money to pay out its obligations, nor will it for the foreseeable future, according to the CBO. Adding the interest owed by one government account (the general fund of the U.S. Treasury) to another (the Social Security trust fund) is merely an exercise in moving money from one part of the federal budget to another. It does not mean that there is extra money available to pay Social Security benefits. Adding in the transfer payments makes Social Security and other federal entitlements appear to be fiscally sound.

“That surplus is bolstered by interest receipts and other sums transferred from elsewhere in the [federal] budget,” the CBO explained. “Such intragovernmental transfers … reallocate costs from one category of the budget to another but do not directly change the total deficit or the government’s borrowing needs.”

In other words, Social Security is not taking in enough money in taxes to pay current or future benefits and instead will have to rely, in theory, on future federal borrowing to meet its needs.